{smcl}
{com}{sf}{ul off}{txt}{.-}
      name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}D:\Melusky\Intertemporal Electoral Choice Project\Data\OLS regression analyses.11-06-2013.Robustness Check.Table SI-3.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}opened on:  {res} 6 Nov 2013, 13:42:49

{com}. **** PERFORM OLS REGRESSION ANALYSIS AND DIAGNOSTIC TESTS FOR RESIDUAL SKEWNESS, KURTOSIS, AND FUNCTIONAL FORM MISSPECIFICATION FOR MODELS REPORTED IN MANUSCRIPT ESTIMATED BY NONPARAMETRIC MEDIAN REGRESSION ANALYSIS ****

. **** MODEL 1A: TENURE BASED PRIOR ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP (FULL SAMPLE & NO SAMPLE SELECTION BIAS CORRECTION)  *****

. **** MODEL SI-3: 1A: TENURE BASED PRIOR ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP (FULL SAMPLE & NO SAMPLE SELECTION BIAS CORRECTION)  *****

. regress electionresults personalincometenureann eddurmonths2 pictenureann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1

      {txt}Source {c |}       SS       df       MS              Number of obs ={res}     115
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           F( 12,   102) ={res}    4.14
    {txt}   Model {char |} {res} 16959.8665    12  1413.32221           {txt}Prob > F      = {res} 0.0000
    {txt}Residual {char |} {res} 34836.4196   102  341.533526           {txt}R-squared     = {res} 0.3274
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           Adj R-squared = {res} 0.2483
    {txt}   Total {char |} {res} 51796.2861   114  454.353387           {txt}Root MSE      = {res} 18.481

{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}personalincometenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 6.745882{col 46}{space 2} 2.339732{col 57}{space 1}    2.88{col 66}{space 3}0.005{col 74}{space 4} 2.105034{col 87}{space 3} 11.38673
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0826239{col 46}{space 2} .0700339{col 57}{space 1}    1.18{col 66}{space 3}0.241{col 74}{space 4}-.0562879{col 87}{space 3} .2215358
{txt}{space 20}pictenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -.071917{col 46}{space 2} .0346865{col 57}{space 1}   -2.07{col 66}{space 3}0.041{col 74}{space 4}-.1407175{col 87}{space 3}-.0031165
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3774384{col 46}{space 2} .2448909{col 57}{space 1}    1.54{col 66}{space 3}0.126{col 74}{space 4}-.1083016{col 87}{space 3} .8631784
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.3441417{col 46}{space 2} .9224304{col 57}{space 1}   -0.37{col 66}{space 3}0.710{col 74}{space 4}-2.173778{col 87}{space 3} 1.485495
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-16.17823{col 46}{space 2} 3.514611{col 57}{space 1}   -4.60{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-23.14945{col 87}{space 3}-9.207018
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 5.634508{col 46}{space 2}  4.62342{col 57}{space 1}    1.22{col 66}{space 3}0.226{col 74}{space 4}-3.536024{col 87}{space 3} 14.80504
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-9.706979{col 46}{space 2} 8.399971{col 57}{space 1}   -1.16{col 66}{space 3}0.251{col 74}{space 4}-26.36828{col 87}{space 3} 6.954323
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.8203017{col 46}{space 2} 2.531769{col 57}{space 1}   -0.32{col 66}{space 3}0.747{col 74}{space 4}-5.842053{col 87}{space 3}  4.20145
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.193305{col 46}{space 2} 3.873168{col 57}{space 1}   -0.31{col 66}{space 3}0.759{col 74}{space 4}-8.875714{col 87}{space 3} 6.489105
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0475691{col 46}{space 2} .2453207{col 57}{space 1}    0.19{col 66}{space 3}0.847{col 74}{space 4}-.4390234{col 87}{space 3} .5341615
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1459056{col 46}{space 2} .1855516{col 57}{space 1}    0.79{col 66}{space 3}0.433{col 74}{space 4} -.222135{col 87}{space 3} .5139462
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 30.96973{col 46}{space 2} 15.04664{col 57}{space 1}    2.06{col 66}{space 3}0.042{col 74}{space 4} 1.124797{col 87}{space 3} 60.81467
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}
{com}. sktest olsmodel1aresids
{res}
{col 21}{txt}Skewness/Kurtosis tests for Normality
{col 58}{hline 7} joint {hline 6}
{col 5}Variable {c |}    Obs   Pr(Skewness)   Pr(Kurtosis)  adj chi2(2)    Prob>chi2
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
olsmodel1a~s {c |}{res}{col 17}  115{col 28}0.0597{col 43}0.8283{col 53}     3.68{col 71}0.1590

{com}. estat ovtest

{txt}Ramsey RESET test using powers of the fitted values of electionresults
       Ho:  model has no omitted variables
                  F(3, 99) = {res}     4.63
                  {txt}Prob > F =      {res}0.0045

{com}. **** MODEL SI-3: 1B: TENURE BASED PRIOR ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP (REDUCED SAMPLE DUE TO REMOVING OVERLY INFLUENTIAL OBSERVATIONS & NO SAMPLE SELECTION BIAS CORRECTION)  *****

. regress electionresults personalincometenureann eddurmonths2 pictenureann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj if eddur2binary==1 & tenurefullresidsimrcook3a < 1

      {txt}Source {c |}       SS       df       MS              Number of obs ={res}      93
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           F( 12,    80) ={res}   10.33
    {txt}   Model {char |} {res} 15827.5335    12  1318.96112           {txt}Prob > F      = {res} 0.0000
    {txt}Residual {char |} {res} 10213.0271    80  127.662839           {txt}R-squared     = {res} 0.6078
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           Adj R-squared = {res} 0.5490
    {txt}   Total {char |} {res} 26040.5606    92  283.049572           {txt}Root MSE      = {res} 11.299

{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}personalincometenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 7.446016{col 46}{space 2} 1.555392{col 57}{space 1}    4.79{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 4.350687{col 87}{space 3} 10.54134
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1595761{col 46}{space 2}  .045884{col 57}{space 1}    3.48{col 66}{space 3}0.001{col 74}{space 4}  .068264{col 87}{space 3} .2508881
{txt}{space 20}pictenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0955605{col 46}{space 2} .0229244{col 57}{space 1}   -4.17{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-.1411815{col 87}{space 3}-.0499395
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1121447{col 46}{space 2} .1830061{col 57}{space 1}    0.61{col 66}{space 3}0.542{col 74}{space 4} -.252049{col 87}{space 3} .4763383
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3390217{col 46}{space 2} .5975813{col 57}{space 1}    0.57{col 66}{space 3}0.572{col 74}{space 4}-.8502029{col 87}{space 3} 1.528246
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -19.7187{col 46}{space 2} 2.388497{col 57}{space 1}   -8.26{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-24.47196{col 87}{space 3}-14.96543
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -.836495{col 46}{space 2} 3.185267{col 57}{space 1}   -0.26{col 66}{space 3}0.794{col 74}{space 4}-7.175379{col 87}{space 3} 5.502389
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.130838{col 46}{space 2} 5.708869{col 57}{space 1}   -0.20{col 66}{space 3}0.843{col 74}{space 4}-12.49185{col 87}{space 3} 10.23017
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.832655{col 46}{space 2} 1.654897{col 57}{space 1}   -1.11{col 66}{space 3}0.271{col 74}{space 4}-5.126005{col 87}{space 3} 1.460695
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-7.216732{col 46}{space 2} 2.620293{col 57}{space 1}   -2.75{col 66}{space 3}0.007{col 74}{space 4}-12.43128{col 87}{space 3}-2.002183
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.2922713{col 46}{space 2} .1590166{col 57}{space 1}   -1.84{col 66}{space 3}0.070{col 74}{space 4}-.6087244{col 87}{space 3} .0241817
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3244612{col 46}{space 2} .1248659{col 57}{space 1}    2.60{col 66}{space 3}0.011{col 74}{space 4} .0759703{col 87}{space 3} .5729522
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}   56.276{col 46}{space 2} 10.79564{col 57}{space 1}    5.21{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 34.79199{col 87}{space 3}    77.76
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}
{com}. sktest olsmodel1bresids if tenurefullresidsimrcook3a < 1
{res}
{col 21}{txt}Skewness/Kurtosis tests for Normality
{col 58}{hline 7} joint {hline 6}
{col 5}Variable {c |}    Obs   Pr(Skewness)   Pr(Kurtosis)  adj chi2(2)    Prob>chi2
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
olsmodel1b~s {c |}{res}{col 17}   93{col 28}0.8459{col 43}0.5935{col 53}     0.32{col 71}0.8510

{com}. estat ovtest

{txt}Ramsey RESET test using powers of the fitted values of electionresults
       Ho:  model has no omitted variables
                  F(3, 77) = {res}     5.22
                  {txt}Prob > F =      {res}0.0025

{com}. **** MODEL SI-3: 1C: TENURE BASED PRIOR ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP (FULL SAMPLE & WITH SAMPLE SELECTION BIAS CORRECTION)  *****

. regress electionresults personalincometenureann eddurmonths2 pictenureann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic if eddur2binary==1

      {txt}Source {c |}       SS       df       MS              Number of obs ={res}     115
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           F( 15,    99) ={res}    3.88
    {txt}   Model {char |} {res} 19167.3934    15  1277.82623           {txt}Prob > F      = {res} 0.0000
    {txt}Residual {char |} {res} 32628.8927    99  329.584775           {txt}R-squared     = {res} 0.3701
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           Adj R-squared = {res} 0.2746
    {txt}   Total {char |} {res} 51796.2861   114  454.353387           {txt}Root MSE      = {res} 18.154

{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}personalincometenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 6.599657{col 46}{space 2} 2.366125{col 57}{space 1}    2.79{col 66}{space 3}0.006{col 74}{space 4} 1.904751{col 87}{space 3} 11.29456
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1326875{col 46}{space 2}  .077979{col 57}{space 1}    1.70{col 66}{space 3}0.092{col 74}{space 4}-.0220398{col 87}{space 3} .2874148
{txt}{space 20}pictenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0999526{col 46}{space 2} .0374476{col 57}{space 1}   -2.67{col 66}{space 3}0.009{col 74}{space 4}-.1742569{col 87}{space 3}-.0256484
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1242649{col 46}{space 2} .2722995{col 57}{space 1}    0.46{col 66}{space 3}0.649{col 74}{space 4}-.4160364{col 87}{space 3} .6645662
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1268059{col 46}{space 2} .9641998{col 57}{space 1}   -0.13{col 66}{space 3}0.896{col 74}{space 4}-2.039987{col 87}{space 3} 1.786376
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-16.03474{col 46}{space 2} 3.458688{col 57}{space 1}   -4.64{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-22.89753{col 87}{space 3}-9.171956
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 5.848155{col 46}{space 2}  4.70196{col 57}{space 1}    1.24{col 66}{space 3}0.217{col 74}{space 4}-3.481553{col 87}{space 3} 15.17786
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-5.694457{col 46}{space 2} 8.437734{col 57}{space 1}   -0.67{col 66}{space 3}0.501{col 74}{space 4}-22.43675{col 87}{space 3} 11.04784
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-2.143682{col 46}{space 2} 2.555227{col 57}{space 1}   -0.84{col 66}{space 3}0.404{col 74}{space 4}-7.213807{col 87}{space 3} 2.926443
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.3522004{col 46}{space 2} 3.820176{col 57}{space 1}   -0.09{col 66}{space 3}0.927{col 74}{space 4}-7.932258{col 87}{space 3} 7.227857
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0049128{col 46}{space 2} .2446398{col 57}{space 1}   -0.02{col 66}{space 3}0.984{col 74}{space 4}-.4903313{col 87}{space 3} .4805058
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0522188{col 46}{space 2}   .18607{col 57}{space 1}    0.28{col 66}{space 3}0.780{col 74}{space 4}-.3169844{col 87}{space 3}  .421422
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 120.1799{col 46}{space 2} 82.94061{col 57}{space 1}    1.45{col 66}{space 3}0.151{col 74}{space 4}-44.39228{col 87}{space 3}  284.752
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-41.60686{col 46}{space 2} 28.04583{col 57}{space 1}   -1.48{col 66}{space 3}0.141{col 74}{space 4}-97.25587{col 87}{space 3} 14.04214
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 4.330997{col 46}{space 2}  3.02501{col 57}{space 1}    1.43{col 66}{space 3}0.155{col 74}{space 4} -1.67128{col 87}{space 3} 10.33327
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-59.38395{col 46}{space 2} 75.05133{col 57}{space 1}   -0.79{col 66}{space 3}0.431{col 74}{space 4}-208.3021{col 87}{space 3} 89.53416
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}
{com}. sktest olsmodel1cresids
{res}
{col 21}{txt}Skewness/Kurtosis tests for Normality
{col 58}{hline 7} joint {hline 6}
{col 5}Variable {c |}    Obs   Pr(Skewness)   Pr(Kurtosis)  adj chi2(2)    Prob>chi2
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
olsmodel1c~s {c |}{res}{col 17}  115{col 28}0.0937{col 43}0.8852{col 53}     2.90{col 71}0.2351

{com}. estat ovtest

{txt}Ramsey RESET test using powers of the fitted values of electionresults
       Ho:  model has no omitted variables
                  F(3, 96) = {res}     2.99
                  {txt}Prob > F =      {res}0.0349

{com}. **** MODEL SI-3: 1D: TENURE BASED PRIOR ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP (REDUCED SAMPLE DUE TO REMOVING OVERLY INFLUENTIAL OBSERVATIONS & WITH SAMPLE SELECTION BIAS CORRECTION)  *****

. regress electionresults personalincometenureann eddurmonths2 pictenureann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic if eddur2binary==1 & tenurefullresidsimrcook3cimr < 1

      {txt}Source {c |}       SS       df       MS              Number of obs ={res}     109
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           F( 15,    93) ={res}    4.23
    {txt}   Model {char |} {res} 15801.5914    15  1053.43942           {txt}Prob > F      = {res} 0.0000
    {txt}Residual {char |} {res} 23182.5038    93  249.274234           {txt}R-squared     = {res} 0.4053
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           Adj R-squared = {res} 0.3094
    {txt}   Total {char |} {res} 38984.0951   108  360.963844           {txt}Root MSE      = {res} 15.788

{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}personalincometenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 5.867659{col 46}{space 2} 2.093794{col 57}{space 1}    2.80{col 66}{space 3}0.006{col 74}{space 4} 1.709798{col 87}{space 3} 10.02552
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1570861{col 46}{space 2} .0681294{col 57}{space 1}    2.31{col 66}{space 3}0.023{col 74}{space 4} .0217946{col 87}{space 3} .2923775
{txt}{space 20}pictenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1059258{col 46}{space 2} .0327651{col 57}{space 1}   -3.23{col 66}{space 3}0.002{col 74}{space 4}-.1709908{col 87}{space 3}-.0408607
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -.276944{col 46}{space 2}  .251341{col 57}{space 1}   -1.10{col 66}{space 3}0.273{col 74}{space 4}-.7760574{col 87}{space 3} .2221695
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.041994{col 46}{space 2}  .872314{col 57}{space 1}    1.19{col 66}{space 3}0.235{col 74}{space 4}-.6902489{col 87}{space 3} 2.774237
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-13.49479{col 46}{space 2} 3.087136{col 57}{space 1}   -4.37{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-19.62523{col 87}{space 3}-7.364348
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 6.710277{col 46}{space 2} 4.147231{col 57}{space 1}    1.62{col 66}{space 3}0.109{col 74}{space 4}-1.525302{col 87}{space 3} 14.94586
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  -3.9463{col 46}{space 2} 7.368821{col 57}{space 1}   -0.54{col 66}{space 3}0.594{col 74}{space 4}-18.57932{col 87}{space 3} 10.68672
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-2.992803{col 46}{space 2} 2.237904{col 57}{space 1}   -1.34{col 66}{space 3}0.184{col 74}{space 4}-7.436837{col 87}{space 3} 1.451231
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-3.131249{col 46}{space 2} 3.435784{col 57}{space 1}   -0.91{col 66}{space 3}0.364{col 74}{space 4}-9.954035{col 87}{space 3} 3.691536
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0400838{col 46}{space 2}  .213329{col 57}{space 1}   -0.19{col 66}{space 3}0.851{col 74}{space 4} -.463713{col 87}{space 3} .3835454
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0540473{col 46}{space 2} .1634187{col 57}{space 1}    0.33{col 66}{space 3}0.742{col 74}{space 4}-.2704698{col 87}{space 3} .3785643
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 131.0458{col 46}{space 2} 72.62757{col 57}{space 1}    1.80{col 66}{space 3}0.074{col 74}{space 4}-13.17814{col 87}{space 3} 275.2698
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-42.68255{col 46}{space 2} 24.53271{col 57}{space 1}   -1.74{col 66}{space 3}0.085{col 74}{space 4}-91.39965{col 87}{space 3} 6.034555
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 4.206872{col 46}{space 2} 2.644163{col 57}{space 1}    1.59{col 66}{space 3}0.115{col 74}{space 4}-1.043912{col 87}{space 3} 9.457656
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-55.20684{col 46}{space 2} 65.76295{col 57}{space 1}   -0.84{col 66}{space 3}0.403{col 74}{space 4} -185.799{col 87}{space 3} 75.38535
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}
{com}. sktest olsmodel1dresids if tenurefullresidsimrcook3cimr < 1
{res}
{col 21}{txt}Skewness/Kurtosis tests for Normality
{col 58}{hline 7} joint {hline 6}
{col 5}Variable {c |}    Obs   Pr(Skewness)   Pr(Kurtosis)  adj chi2(2)    Prob>chi2
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
olsmodel1d~s {c |}{res}{col 17}  109{col 28}0.2149{col 43}0.8610{col 53}     1.60{col 71}0.4487

{com}. estat ovtest

{txt}Ramsey RESET test using powers of the fitted values of electionresults
       Ho:  model has no omitted variables
                  F(3, 90) = {res}     3.32
                  {txt}Prob > F =      {res}0.0234

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. **** MODEL SI-3: 2A: LAST TERM BASED PRIOR ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP (FULL SAMPLE & NO SAMPLE SELECTION BIAS CORRECTION)  *****

. regress electionresults personalincomerecenttermann eddurmonths2 picrtermann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1

      {txt}Source {c |}       SS       df       MS              Number of obs ={res}     115
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           F( 12,   102) ={res}    3.66
    {txt}   Model {char |} {res} 15580.3077    12  1298.35897           {txt}Prob > F      = {res} 0.0001
    {txt}Residual {char |} {res} 36215.9784   102  355.058612           {txt}R-squared     = {res} 0.3008
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           Adj R-squared = {res} 0.2185
    {txt}   Total {char |} {res} 51796.2861   114  454.353387           {txt}Root MSE      = {res} 18.843

{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.378411{col 46}{space 2} 1.870203{col 57}{space 1}    1.27{col 66}{space 3}0.206{col 74}{space 4}-1.331127{col 87}{space 3} 6.087949
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0355648{col 46}{space 2} .0697532{col 57}{space 1}   -0.51{col 66}{space 3}0.611{col 74}{space 4}  -.17392{col 87}{space 3} .1027904
{txt}{space 21}picrtermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0020187{col 46}{space 2} .0249358{col 57}{space 1}    0.08{col 66}{space 3}0.936{col 74}{space 4}-.0474414{col 87}{space 3} .0514788
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  .343387{col 46}{space 2} .2641236{col 57}{space 1}    1.30{col 66}{space 3}0.196{col 74}{space 4}-.1805009{col 87}{space 3} .8672749
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.4049186{col 46}{space 2} .9671708{col 57}{space 1}   -0.42{col 66}{space 3}0.676{col 74}{space 4}-2.323297{col 87}{space 3}  1.51346
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-16.70687{col 46}{space 2} 3.596763{col 57}{space 1}   -4.64{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-23.84103{col 87}{space 3}-9.572704
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 7.220861{col 46}{space 2} 4.661167{col 57}{space 1}    1.55{col 66}{space 3}0.124{col 74}{space 4}-2.024542{col 87}{space 3} 16.46626
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-16.78594{col 46}{space 2} 8.490002{col 57}{space 1}   -1.98{col 66}{space 3}0.051{col 74}{space 4}-33.62582{col 87}{space 3} .0539381
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .5322859{col 46}{space 2} 2.584017{col 57}{space 1}    0.21{col 66}{space 3}0.837{col 74}{space 4}-4.593101{col 87}{space 3} 5.657672
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.5766186{col 46}{space 2} 3.996226{col 57}{space 1}   -0.14{col 66}{space 3}0.886{col 74}{space 4}-8.503114{col 87}{space 3} 7.349877
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1138003{col 46}{space 2} .2495688{col 57}{space 1}    0.46{col 66}{space 3}0.649{col 74}{space 4}-.3812183{col 87}{space 3} .6088189
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2082296{col 46}{space 2} .1937899{col 57}{space 1}    1.07{col 66}{space 3}0.285{col 74}{space 4}-.1761518{col 87}{space 3}  .592611
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 39.77401{col 46}{space 2} 15.29346{col 57}{space 1}    2.60{col 66}{space 3}0.011{col 74}{space 4} 9.439499{col 87}{space 3} 70.10853
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}
{com}. sktest olsmodel2aresids
{res}
{col 21}{txt}Skewness/Kurtosis tests for Normality
{col 58}{hline 7} joint {hline 6}
{col 5}Variable {c |}    Obs   Pr(Skewness)   Pr(Kurtosis)  adj chi2(2)    Prob>chi2
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
olsmodel2a~s {c |}{res}{col 17}  115{col 28}0.1389{col 43}0.9301{col 53}     2.25{col 71}0.3253

{com}. estat ovtest

{txt}Ramsey RESET test using powers of the fitted values of electionresults
       Ho:  model has no omitted variables
                  F(3, 99) = {res}     4.60
                  {txt}Prob > F =      {res}0.0047

{com}. 
. **** MODEL SI-3: 2B: LAST TERM BASED PRIOR ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP (REDUCED SAMPLE DUE TO REMOVING OVERLY INFLUENTIAL OBSERVATIONS & NO SAMPLE SELECTION BIAS CORRECTION)  *****

. regress electionresults personalincomerecenttermann eddurmonths2 picrtermann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1 & rtermfullresidsimrcook4a < 1

      {txt}Source {c |}       SS       df       MS              Number of obs ={res}      98
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           F( 12,    85) ={res}    4.08
    {txt}   Model {char |} {res} 8960.13776    12  746.678147           {txt}Prob > F      = {res} 0.0001
    {txt}Residual {char |} {res} 15544.1564    85  182.872428           {txt}R-squared     = {res} 0.3657
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           Adj R-squared = {res} 0.2761
    {txt}   Total {char |} {res} 24504.2941    97  252.621589           {txt}Root MSE      = {res} 13.523

{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 3.575312{col 46}{space 2} 1.446106{col 57}{space 1}    2.47{col 66}{space 3}0.015{col 74}{space 4} .7000665{col 87}{space 3} 6.450558
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0455659{col 46}{space 2}  .051805{col 57}{space 1}    0.88{col 66}{space 3}0.382{col 74}{space 4}-.0574364{col 87}{space 3} .1485682
{txt}{space 21}picrtermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0265518{col 46}{space 2} .0185054{col 57}{space 1}   -1.43{col 66}{space 3}0.155{col 74}{space 4}-.0633455{col 87}{space 3}  .010242
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1409477{col 46}{space 2}  .218803{col 57}{space 1}   -0.64{col 66}{space 3}0.521{col 74}{space 4}-.5759867{col 87}{space 3} .2940913
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .6897264{col 46}{space 2} .7363516{col 57}{space 1}    0.94{col 66}{space 3}0.352{col 74}{space 4}-.7743379{col 87}{space 3} 2.153791
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-13.93371{col 46}{space 2} 2.792101{col 57}{space 1}   -4.99{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-19.48516{col 87}{space 3} -8.38227
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.696508{col 46}{space 2} 3.696906{col 57}{space 1}    0.46{col 66}{space 3}0.647{col 74}{space 4}-5.653932{col 87}{space 3} 9.046947
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-8.602448{col 46}{space 2} 6.404635{col 57}{space 1}   -1.34{col 66}{space 3}0.183{col 74}{space 4}-21.33658{col 87}{space 3} 4.131682
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0325292{col 46}{space 2} 1.933287{col 57}{space 1}    0.02{col 66}{space 3}0.987{col 74}{space 4}-3.811363{col 87}{space 3} 3.876421
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-3.221202{col 46}{space 2}  3.14887{col 57}{space 1}   -1.02{col 66}{space 3}0.309{col 74}{space 4}-9.481999{col 87}{space 3} 3.039595
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0476941{col 46}{space 2} .1840264{col 57}{space 1}   -0.26{col 66}{space 3}0.796{col 74}{space 4}-.4135879{col 87}{space 3} .3181998
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2853945{col 46}{space 2} .1464076{col 57}{space 1}    1.95{col 66}{space 3}0.055{col 74}{space 4} -.005703{col 87}{space 3} .5764921
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 67.29446{col 46}{space 2} 12.44596{col 57}{space 1}    5.41{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 42.54855{col 87}{space 3} 92.04037
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}
{com}. sktest olsmodel2bresids if rtermfullresidsimrcook4a < 1
{res}
{col 21}{txt}Skewness/Kurtosis tests for Normality
{col 58}{hline 7} joint {hline 6}
{col 5}Variable {c |}    Obs   Pr(Skewness)   Pr(Kurtosis)  adj chi2(2)    Prob>chi2
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
olsmodel2b~s {c |}{res}{col 17}   98{col 28}0.8642{col 43}0.5946{col 53}     0.31{col 71}0.8553

{com}. estat ovtest

{txt}Ramsey RESET test using powers of the fitted values of electionresults
       Ho:  model has no omitted variables
                  F(3, 82) = {res}     3.17
                  {txt}Prob > F =      {res}0.0285

{com}. 
. 
. **** MODEL SI-3: 2C: LAST TERM BASED PRIOR ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP (FULL SAMPLE & WITH SAMPLE SELECTION BIAS CORRECTION)  *****

. regress electionresults personalincomerecenttermann eddurmonths2 picrtermann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic if eddur2binary==1

      {txt}Source {c |}       SS       df       MS              Number of obs ={res}     115
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           F( 15,    99) ={res}    3.15
    {txt}   Model {char |} {res} 16744.6584    15  1116.31056           {txt}Prob > F      = {res} 0.0003
    {txt}Residual {char |} {res} 35051.6277    99  354.056846           {txt}R-squared     = {res} 0.3233
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           Adj R-squared = {res} 0.2207
    {txt}   Total {char |} {res} 51796.2861   114  454.353387           {txt}Root MSE      = {res} 18.816

{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.694555{col 46}{space 2} 1.909738{col 57}{space 1}    0.89{col 66}{space 3}0.377{col 74}{space 4} -2.09478{col 87}{space 3} 5.483891
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0407485{col 46}{space 2} .0733465{col 57}{space 1}   -0.56{col 66}{space 3}0.580{col 74}{space 4}-.1862839{col 87}{space 3} .1047869
{txt}{space 21}picrtermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 4.25e-06{col 46}{space 2} .0253911{col 57}{space 1}    0.00{col 66}{space 3}1.000{col 74}{space 4}-.0503771{col 87}{space 3} .0503856
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2799022{col 46}{space 2} .2881944{col 57}{space 1}    0.97{col 66}{space 3}0.334{col 74}{space 4}-.2919381{col 87}{space 3} .8517425
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.3782174{col 46}{space 2} 1.042072{col 57}{space 1}   -0.36{col 66}{space 3}0.717{col 74}{space 4}-2.445914{col 87}{space 3} 1.689479
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-16.58375{col 46}{space 2} 3.606642{col 57}{space 1}   -4.60{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-23.74011{col 87}{space 3}-9.427388
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 7.610103{col 46}{space 2} 4.827373{col 57}{space 1}    1.58{col 66}{space 3}0.118{col 74}{space 4}-1.968453{col 87}{space 3} 17.18866
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-14.33364{col 46}{space 2} 8.656148{col 57}{space 1}   -1.66{col 66}{space 3}0.101{col 74}{space 4}-31.50932{col 87}{space 3} 2.842034
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.2542182{col 46}{space 2} 2.648167{col 57}{space 1}   -0.10{col 66}{space 3}0.924{col 74}{space 4}-5.508755{col 87}{space 3} 5.000319
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3512288{col 46}{space 2} 4.030908{col 57}{space 1}    0.09{col 66}{space 3}0.931{col 74}{space 4}-7.646968{col 87}{space 3} 8.349425
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1156594{col 46}{space 2} .2516675{col 57}{space 1}    0.46{col 66}{space 3}0.647{col 74}{space 4}-.3837035{col 87}{space 3} .6150223
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1238299{col 46}{space 2} .2001497{col 57}{space 1}    0.62{col 66}{space 3}0.538{col 74}{space 4}-.2733105{col 87}{space 3} .5209704
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 17.65228{col 46}{space 2} 83.44587{col 57}{space 1}    0.21{col 66}{space 3}0.833{col 74}{space 4}-147.9224{col 87}{space 3}  183.227
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-7.922327{col 46}{space 2} 28.38143{col 57}{space 1}   -0.28{col 66}{space 3}0.781{col 74}{space 4}-64.23725{col 87}{space 3} 48.39259
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .8733246{col 46}{space 2} 3.076854{col 57}{space 1}    0.28{col 66}{space 3}0.777{col 74}{space 4}-5.231822{col 87}{space 3} 6.978471
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 37.05486{col 46}{space 2} 75.35978{col 57}{space 1}    0.49{col 66}{space 3}0.624{col 74}{space 4}-112.4753{col 87}{space 3}  186.585
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}
{com}. sktest olsmodel2cresids
{res}
{col 21}{txt}Skewness/Kurtosis tests for Normality
{col 58}{hline 7} joint {hline 6}
{col 5}Variable {c |}    Obs   Pr(Skewness)   Pr(Kurtosis)  adj chi2(2)    Prob>chi2
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
olsmodel2c~s {c |}{res}{col 17}  115{col 28}0.2640{col 43}0.7814{col 53}     1.35{col 71}0.5090

{com}. estat ovtest

{txt}Ramsey RESET test using powers of the fitted values of electionresults
       Ho:  model has no omitted variables
                  F(3, 96) = {res}     2.34
                  {txt}Prob > F =      {res}0.0778

{com}. 
. 
. **** MODEL SI-3: 2D: LAST TERM BASED PRIOR ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP (REDUCED SAMPLE DUE TO REMOVING OVERLY INFLUENTIAL OBSERVATIONS  & WITH SAMPLE SELECTION BIAS CORRECTION)  *****

. regress electionresults personalincomerecenttermann eddurmonths2 picrtermann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic  if eddur2binary==1 & rtermfullresidsimrcook4cimr < 1

      {txt}Source {c |}       SS       df       MS              Number of obs ={res}     108
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           F( 15,    92) ={res}    3.01
    {txt}   Model {char |} {res}  12163.028    15  810.868533           {txt}Prob > F      = {res} 0.0006
    {txt}Residual {char |} {res} 24786.7811    92  269.421534           {txt}R-squared     = {res} 0.3292
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           Adj R-squared = {res} 0.2198
    {txt}   Total {char |} {res} 36949.8091   107  345.325319           {txt}Root MSE      = {res} 16.414

{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.768296{col 46}{space 2} 1.695519{col 57}{space 1}    1.04{col 66}{space 3}0.300{col 74}{space 4}-1.599151{col 87}{space 3} 5.135742
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0014788{col 46}{space 2} .0646511{col 57}{space 1}    0.02{col 66}{space 3}0.982{col 74}{space 4}-.1269239{col 87}{space 3} .1298814
{txt}{space 21}picrtermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0101898{col 46}{space 2} .0223217{col 57}{space 1}   -0.46{col 66}{space 3}0.649{col 74}{space 4}-.0545227{col 87}{space 3} .0341431
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1815254{col 46}{space 2} .2678843{col 57}{space 1}   -0.68{col 66}{space 3}0.500{col 74}{space 4}-.7135666{col 87}{space 3} .3505159
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .9038232{col 46}{space 2} .9485631{col 57}{space 1}    0.95{col 66}{space 3}0.343{col 74}{space 4}-.9801049{col 87}{space 3} 2.787751
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -13.0702{col 46}{space 2} 3.252548{col 57}{space 1}   -4.02{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-19.53005{col 87}{space 3}-6.610364
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 7.849856{col 46}{space 2} 4.264473{col 57}{space 1}    1.84{col 66}{space 3}0.069{col 74}{space 4}-.6197543{col 87}{space 3} 16.31947
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -10.6528{col 46}{space 2} 7.616761{col 57}{space 1}   -1.40{col 66}{space 3}0.165{col 74}{space 4}-25.78035{col 87}{space 3} 4.474742
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.222292{col 46}{space 2} 2.327189{col 57}{space 1}   -0.53{col 66}{space 3}0.601{col 74}{space 4}-5.844289{col 87}{space 3} 3.399705
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.758067{col 46}{space 2} 3.634544{col 57}{space 1}   -0.48{col 66}{space 3}0.630{col 74}{space 4}-8.976585{col 87}{space 3}  5.46045
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0750261{col 46}{space 2}  .220031{col 57}{space 1}    0.34{col 66}{space 3}0.734{col 74}{space 4}-.3619745{col 87}{space 3} .5120267
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1198279{col 46}{space 2} .1765317{col 57}{space 1}    0.68{col 66}{space 3}0.499{col 74}{space 4}-.2307794{col 87}{space 3} .4704352
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 30.83736{col 46}{space 2} 73.10196{col 57}{space 1}    0.42{col 66}{space 3}0.674{col 74}{space 4}-114.3494{col 87}{space 3} 176.0242
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -9.79986{col 46}{space 2} 24.84237{col 57}{space 1}   -0.39{col 66}{space 3}0.694{col 74}{space 4}-59.13895{col 87}{space 3} 39.53923
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .8394615{col 46}{space 2} 2.692148{col 57}{space 1}    0.31{col 66}{space 3}0.756{col 74}{space 4}-4.507376{col 87}{space 3} 6.186299
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 39.43686{col 46}{space 2} 66.02752{col 57}{space 1}    0.60{col 66}{space 3}0.552{col 74}{space 4}-91.69951{col 87}{space 3} 170.5732
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}
{com}. sktest olsmodel2dresids if rtermfullresidsimrcook4cimr < 1
{res}
{col 21}{txt}Skewness/Kurtosis tests for Normality
{col 58}{hline 7} joint {hline 6}
{col 5}Variable {c |}    Obs   Pr(Skewness)   Pr(Kurtosis)  adj chi2(2)    Prob>chi2
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
olsmodel2d~s {c |}{res}{col 17}  108{col 28}0.6221{col 43}0.9128{col 53}     0.25{col 71}0.8803

{com}. estat ovtest

{txt}Ramsey RESET test using powers of the fitted values of electionresults
       Ho:  model has no omitted variables
                  F(3, 89) = {res}     3.21
                  {txt}Prob > F =      {res}0.0267

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. **** MODEL SI-3: 2A: FINAL YEAR BASED PRIOR ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP (FULL SAMPLE & NO SAMPLE SELECTION BIAS CORRECTION)  *****

. regress electionresults personalincomerecentyearann eddurmonths2 picryearann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1

      {txt}Source {c |}       SS       df       MS              Number of obs ={res}     115
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           F( 12,   102) ={res}    3.79
    {txt}   Model {char |} {res} 15981.8172    12   1331.8181           {txt}Prob > F      = {res} 0.0001
    {txt}Residual {char |} {res} 35814.4689   102  351.122244           {txt}R-squared     = {res} 0.3086
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           Adj R-squared = {res} 0.2272
    {txt}   Total {char |} {res} 51796.2861   114  454.353387           {txt}Root MSE      = {res} 18.738

{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  3.33706{col 46}{space 2} 1.448491{col 57}{space 1}    2.30{col 66}{space 3}0.023{col 74}{space 4} .4639838{col 87}{space 3} 6.210136
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0169931{col 46}{space 2} .0508617{col 57}{space 1}    0.33{col 66}{space 3}0.739{col 74}{space 4}-.0838908{col 87}{space 3}  .117877
{txt}{space 21}picryearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0306458{col 46}{space 2}  .016621{col 57}{space 1}   -1.84{col 66}{space 3}0.068{col 74}{space 4}-.0636135{col 87}{space 3} .0023219
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3859356{col 46}{space 2} .2482891{col 57}{space 1}    1.55{col 66}{space 3}0.123{col 74}{space 4}-.1065447{col 87}{space 3} .8784159
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.102152{col 46}{space 2} 1.051693{col 57}{space 1}   -1.05{col 66}{space 3}0.297{col 74}{space 4} -3.18818{col 87}{space 3} .9838758
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-17.14189{col 46}{space 2}  3.58826{col 57}{space 1}   -4.78{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-24.25918{col 87}{space 3}-10.02459
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 7.696442{col 46}{space 2} 4.587071{col 57}{space 1}    1.68{col 66}{space 3}0.096{col 74}{space 4}-1.401992{col 87}{space 3} 16.79488
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-14.46409{col 46}{space 2} 8.234844{col 57}{space 1}   -1.76{col 66}{space 3}0.082{col 74}{space 4}-30.79786{col 87}{space 3} 1.869688
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1583798{col 46}{space 2} 2.524415{col 57}{space 1}   -0.06{col 66}{space 3}0.950{col 74}{space 4}-5.165546{col 87}{space 3} 4.848786
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -.429641{col 46}{space 2} 3.891581{col 57}{space 1}   -0.11{col 66}{space 3}0.912{col 74}{space 4}-8.148574{col 87}{space 3} 7.289292
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1148505{col 46}{space 2} .2462411{col 57}{space 1}    0.47{col 66}{space 3}0.642{col 74}{space 4}-.3735676{col 87}{space 3} .6032685
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1733395{col 46}{space 2} .1887617{col 57}{space 1}    0.92{col 66}{space 3}0.361{col 74}{space 4}-.2010685{col 87}{space 3} .5477474
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 36.83757{col 46}{space 2} 14.94414{col 57}{space 1}    2.47{col 66}{space 3}0.015{col 74}{space 4}  7.19594{col 87}{space 3}  66.4792
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}
{com}. sktest olsmodel3aresids
{res}
{col 21}{txt}Skewness/Kurtosis tests for Normality
{col 58}{hline 7} joint {hline 6}
{col 5}Variable {c |}    Obs   Pr(Skewness)   Pr(Kurtosis)  adj chi2(2)    Prob>chi2
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
olsmodel3a~s {c |}{res}{col 17}  115{col 28}0.0456{col 43}0.5514{col 53}     4.46{col 71}0.1078

{com}. estat ovtest

{txt}Ramsey RESET test using powers of the fitted values of electionresults
       Ho:  model has no omitted variables
                  F(3, 99) = {res}     4.16
                  {txt}Prob > F =      {res}0.0081

{com}. 
. 
. **** NOTE: ABOVE MODEL IS MODEL SI-3: 3A: FINAL YEAR BASED PRIOR ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP (FULL SAMPLE & NO SAMPLE SELECTION BIAS CORRECTION)  *****

. 
. 
. 
. **** MODEL SI-3: 3B: FINAL YEAR BASED PRIOR ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP (REDUCED SAMPLE DUE TO REMOVING OVERLY INFLUENTIAL OBSERVATIONS & NO SAMPLE SELECTION BIAS CORRECTION)  *****

. regress electionresults personalincomerecentyearann eddurmonths2 picryearann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1 & ryearfullresidsimrcook5 < 1

      {txt}Source {c |}       SS       df       MS              Number of obs ={res}      98
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           F( 12,    85) ={res}    5.84
    {txt}   Model {char |} {res} 12082.3907    12  1006.86589           {txt}Prob > F      = {res} 0.0000
    {txt}Residual {char |} {res}  14650.513    85  172.358976           {txt}R-squared     = {res} 0.4520
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           Adj R-squared = {res} 0.3746
    {txt}   Total {char |} {res} 26732.9037    97  275.596945           {txt}Root MSE      = {res} 13.129

{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 3.920235{col 46}{space 2} 1.162033{col 57}{space 1}    3.37{col 66}{space 3}0.001{col 74}{space 4} 1.609802{col 87}{space 3} 6.230668
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0503569{col 46}{space 2} .0366445{col 57}{space 1}    1.37{col 66}{space 3}0.173{col 74}{space 4}-.0225022{col 87}{space 3}  .123216
{txt}{space 21}picryearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0355253{col 46}{space 2} .0119931{col 57}{space 1}   -2.96{col 66}{space 3}0.004{col 74}{space 4}-.0593708{col 87}{space 3}-.0116797
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0326492{col 46}{space 2} .2008175{col 57}{space 1}    0.16{col 66}{space 3}0.871{col 74}{space 4}-.3666298{col 87}{space 3} .4319282
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.3268949{col 46}{space 2} .7933317{col 57}{space 1}   -0.41{col 66}{space 3}0.681{col 74}{space 4}-1.904251{col 87}{space 3} 1.250461
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-15.12738{col 46}{space 2} 2.741836{col 57}{space 1}   -5.52{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-20.57889{col 87}{space 3}-9.675879
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.236331{col 46}{space 2} 3.529914{col 57}{space 1}    0.63{col 66}{space 3}0.528{col 74}{space 4}-4.782083{col 87}{space 3} 9.254745
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-9.922927{col 46}{space 2} 6.031014{col 57}{space 1}   -1.65{col 66}{space 3}0.104{col 74}{space 4} -21.9142{col 87}{space 3} 2.068345
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.249339{col 46}{space 2} 1.798553{col 57}{space 1}   -0.69{col 66}{space 3}0.489{col 74}{space 4}-4.825344{col 87}{space 3} 2.326666
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-5.566414{col 46}{space 2} 2.995347{col 57}{space 1}   -1.86{col 66}{space 3}0.067{col 74}{space 4}-11.52197{col 87}{space 3} .3891373
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0689587{col 46}{space 2} .1776824{col 57}{space 1}   -0.39{col 66}{space 3}0.699{col 74}{space 4}-.4222388{col 87}{space 3} .2843214
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3902487{col 46}{space 2} .1410098{col 57}{space 1}    2.77{col 66}{space 3}0.007{col 74}{space 4} .1098833{col 87}{space 3}  .670614
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 61.80072{col 46}{space 2} 12.02707{col 57}{space 1}    5.14{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 37.88769{col 87}{space 3} 85.71374
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}
{com}. sktest olsmodel3bresids if ryearfullresidsimrcook5 < 1
{res}
{col 21}{txt}Skewness/Kurtosis tests for Normality
{col 58}{hline 7} joint {hline 6}
{col 5}Variable {c |}    Obs   Pr(Skewness)   Pr(Kurtosis)  adj chi2(2)    Prob>chi2
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
olsmodel3b~s {c |}{res}{col 17}   98{col 28}0.7748{col 43}0.6801{col 53}     0.25{col 71}0.8817

{com}. estat ovtest

{txt}Ramsey RESET test using powers of the fitted values of electionresults
       Ho:  model has no omitted variables
                  F(3, 82) = {res}     6.63
                  {txt}Prob > F =      {res}0.0005

{com}. 
. 
. 
. **** MODEL SI-3: 3C: FINAL YEAR BASED PRIOR ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP (FULL SAMPLE & WITH SAMPLE SELECTION BIAS CORRECTION)  *****

. regress electionresults personalincomerecentyearann eddurmonths2 picryearann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic  if eddur2binary==1

      {txt}Source {c |}       SS       df       MS              Number of obs ={res}     115
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           F( 15,    99) ={res}    3.38
    {txt}   Model {char |} {res} 17542.9681    15  1169.53121           {txt}Prob > F      = {res} 0.0001
    {txt}Residual {char |} {res}  34253.318    99  345.993111           {txt}R-squared     = {res} 0.3387
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           Adj R-squared = {res} 0.2385
    {txt}   Total {char |} {res} 51796.2861   114  454.353387           {txt}Root MSE      = {res} 18.601

{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  2.75354{col 46}{space 2}  1.48988{col 57}{space 1}    1.85{col 66}{space 3}0.068{col 74}{space 4} -.202705{col 87}{space 3} 5.709784
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  .017912{col 46}{space 2} .0546048{col 57}{space 1}    0.33{col 66}{space 3}0.744{col 74}{space 4}-.0904359{col 87}{space 3} .1262598
{txt}{space 21}picryearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0316605{col 46}{space 2} .0171299{col 57}{space 1}   -1.85{col 66}{space 3}0.068{col 74}{space 4}  -.06565{col 87}{space 3}  .002329
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2460072{col 46}{space 2} .2681885{col 57}{space 1}    0.92{col 66}{space 3}0.361{col 74}{space 4} -.286137{col 87}{space 3} .7781514
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.8339611{col 46}{space 2} 1.092721{col 57}{space 1}   -0.76{col 66}{space 3}0.447{col 74}{space 4}-3.002156{col 87}{space 3} 1.334234
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-16.87668{col 46}{space 2}  3.56671{col 57}{space 1}   -4.73{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-23.95381{col 87}{space 3}-9.799558
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 7.943853{col 46}{space 2}  4.71183{col 57}{space 1}    1.69{col 66}{space 3}0.095{col 74}{space 4} -1.40544{col 87}{space 3} 17.29315
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -12.7491{col 46}{space 2} 8.235679{col 57}{space 1}   -1.55{col 66}{space 3}0.125{col 74}{space 4}-29.09047{col 87}{space 3} 3.592274
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.7253636{col 46}{space 2} 2.530312{col 57}{space 1}   -0.29{col 66}{space 3}0.775{col 74}{space 4}-5.746051{col 87}{space 3} 4.295324
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .5386473{col 46}{space 2} 3.890765{col 57}{space 1}    0.14{col 66}{space 3}0.890{col 74}{space 4}-7.181474{col 87}{space 3} 8.258768
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0944822{col 46}{space 2} .2468799{col 57}{space 1}    0.38{col 66}{space 3}0.703{col 74}{space 4} -.395381{col 87}{space 3} .5843455
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0945327{col 46}{space 2} .1911921{col 57}{space 1}    0.49{col 66}{space 3}0.622{col 74}{space 4} -.284834{col 87}{space 3} .4738994
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 75.93084{col 46}{space 2} 81.40814{col 57}{space 1}    0.93{col 66}{space 3}0.353{col 74}{space 4}-85.60058{col 87}{space 3} 237.4623
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-27.31781{col 46}{space 2} 27.63768{col 57}{space 1}   -0.99{col 66}{space 3}0.325{col 74}{space 4}-82.15696{col 87}{space 3} 27.52135
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.905172{col 46}{space 2} 2.999711{col 57}{space 1}    0.97{col 66}{space 3}0.335{col 74}{space 4}-3.046906{col 87}{space 3}  8.85725
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-17.21158{col 46}{space 2} 74.30641{col 57}{space 1}   -0.23{col 66}{space 3}0.817{col 74}{space 4}-164.6516{col 87}{space 3} 130.2285
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}
{com}. sktest olsmodel3cresids
{res}
{col 21}{txt}Skewness/Kurtosis tests for Normality
{col 58}{hline 7} joint {hline 6}
{col 5}Variable {c |}    Obs   Pr(Skewness)   Pr(Kurtosis)  adj chi2(2)    Prob>chi2
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
olsmodel3c~s {c |}{res}{col 17}  115{col 28}0.0998{col 43}0.5621{col 53}     3.12{col 71}0.2106

{com}. estat ovtest

{txt}Ramsey RESET test using powers of the fitted values of electionresults
       Ho:  model has no omitted variables
                  F(3, 96) = {res}     2.62
                  {txt}Prob > F =      {res}0.0550

{com}. 
. 
. **** MODEL SI-3: 3D: FINAL YEAR BASED PRIOR ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP (REDUCED SAMPLE DUE TO REMOVING OVERLY INFLUENTIAL OBSERVATIONS & WITH SAMPLE SELECTION BIAS CORRECTION)  *****

. regress electionresults personalincomerecentyearann eddurmonths2 picryearann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic  if eddur2binary==1 & ryearfullresidsimrcook5imr < 1

      {txt}Source {c |}       SS       df       MS              Number of obs ={res}     103
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           F( 15,    87) ={res}    4.02
    {txt}   Model {char |} {res} 12834.5611    15  855.637405           {txt}Prob > F      = {res} 0.0000
    {txt}Residual {char |} {res} 18520.1886    87  212.875731           {txt}R-squared     = {res} 0.4093
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           Adj R-squared = {res} 0.3075
    {txt}   Total {char |} {res} 31354.7497   102  307.399507           {txt}Root MSE      = {res}  14.59

{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 4.380552{col 46}{space 2} 1.205018{col 57}{space 1}    3.64{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 1.985449{col 87}{space 3} 6.775654
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  .068157{col 46}{space 2} .0434499{col 57}{space 1}    1.57{col 66}{space 3}0.120{col 74}{space 4}-.0182044{col 87}{space 3} .1545184
{txt}{space 21}picryearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -.042307{col 46}{space 2} .0135912{col 57}{space 1}   -3.11{col 66}{space 3}0.003{col 74}{space 4}-.0693211{col 87}{space 3} -.015293
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0696941{col 46}{space 2} .2298748{col 57}{space 1}   -0.30{col 66}{space 3}0.762{col 74}{space 4}-.5265952{col 87}{space 3} .3872069
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.6749963{col 46}{space 2}  .894819{col 57}{space 1}   -0.75{col 66}{space 3}0.453{col 74}{space 4}-2.453546{col 87}{space 3} 1.103553
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-12.15476{col 46}{space 2} 2.983421{col 57}{space 1}   -4.07{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-18.08463{col 87}{space 3}-6.224886
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 6.222507{col 46}{space 2}  3.78886{col 57}{space 1}    1.64{col 66}{space 3}0.104{col 74}{space 4}-1.308261{col 87}{space 3} 13.75328
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-10.89294{col 46}{space 2} 6.535657{col 57}{space 1}   -1.67{col 66}{space 3}0.099{col 74}{space 4}-23.88326{col 87}{space 3}  2.09739
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.6739463{col 46}{space 2} 2.000701{col 57}{space 1}   -0.34{col 66}{space 3}0.737{col 74}{space 4}-4.650556{col 87}{space 3} 3.302663
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.9735646{col 46}{space 2} 3.236079{col 57}{space 1}   -0.30{col 66}{space 3}0.764{col 74}{space 4}-7.405623{col 87}{space 3} 5.458493
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0501858{col 46}{space 2} .1943521{col 57}{space 1}    0.26{col 66}{space 3}0.797{col 74}{space 4}  -.33611{col 87}{space 3} .4364816
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2002673{col 46}{space 2} .1555957{col 57}{space 1}    1.29{col 66}{space 3}0.201{col 74}{space 4}-.1089959{col 87}{space 3} .5095305
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 112.5588{col 46}{space 2} 65.49977{col 57}{space 1}    1.72{col 66}{space 3}0.089{col 74}{space 4}-17.62908{col 87}{space 3} 242.7467
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -38.4312{col 46}{space 2} 22.25771{col 57}{space 1}   -1.73{col 66}{space 3}0.088{col 74}{space 4}-82.67082{col 87}{space 3} 5.808417
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 3.976743{col 46}{space 2} 2.415273{col 57}{space 1}    1.65{col 66}{space 3}0.103{col 74}{space 4}-.8238734{col 87}{space 3} 8.777359
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-42.71664{col 46}{space 2} 59.66973{col 57}{space 1}   -0.72{col 66}{space 3}0.476{col 74}{space 4}-161.3167{col 87}{space 3}  75.8834
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}
{com}. sktest olsmodel3dresids if  ryearfullresidsimrcook5imr < 1
{res}
{col 21}{txt}Skewness/Kurtosis tests for Normality
{col 58}{hline 7} joint {hline 6}
{col 5}Variable {c |}    Obs   Pr(Skewness)   Pr(Kurtosis)  adj chi2(2)    Prob>chi2
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
olsmodel3d~s {c |}{res}{col 17}  103{col 28}0.1909{col 43}0.5633{col 53}     2.09{col 71}0.3508

{com}. estat ovtest

{txt}Ramsey RESET test using powers of the fitted values of electionresults
       Ho:  model has no omitted variables
                  F(3, 84) = {res}     4.66
                  {txt}Prob > F =      {res}0.0046

{com}. 
. 
. *** THE END! ****

. log close
      {txt}name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}D:\Melusky\Intertemporal Electoral Choice Project\Data\OLS regression analyses.11-06-2013.Robustness Check.Table SI-3.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}closed on:  {res} 6 Nov 2013, 13:55:56
{txt}{.-}
{smcl}
{txt}{sf}{ul off}